Matthew Kubina, MD1, Vitchapong Prasitsumrit, MD2, Jarell Tan, 3, Ethan Quek, 4, Dhiraj Peddu, MD1, Ankit Mishra, MD1, Whitney Townsend, 1, Eugene Wong, MD5, Karn Wijarnpreecha, MD6, Vincent Chen, MD7 1University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; 2Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Samut Sakhon, Thailand; 3Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore; 4Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore; 5Changi General Hospital, Simei, Singapore; 6Banner Health, Phoenix, AZ; 7Michigan Medicine, Ann Arbor, MI
Introduction: Genetic variants in genes including PNPLA3, TM6SF2, MBOAT7, HSD17B13, and GCKR have been associated with risk of steatotic liver disease (SLD). While these variants may also influence risk of liver-related complications and mortality, these longitudinal outcomes have been less well-studied. Here, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the impact of SLD-associated genetic variants on hepatic and extrahepatic complications, and overall and cause-specific mortality in SLD.
Methods: We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Medline databases from inception through March 18th, 2024. We included studies on adults with SLD that reported effects of pre-specified genetic predictors on outcomes of incident liver-related outcomes, incident cardiovascular disease, or overall or cause-specific mortality. Predictors were SLD-associated variants in PNPLA3, TM6SF2, HSD17B13, MBOAT7, and GCKR. We pooled hazard ratios (HR) along with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using random effect models for outcomes with sufficient studies and patients necessary for analysis. These were reviewed by two independent reviewers, with conflicts resolved with a third reviewer.
Results: Our search resulted in 6188 initial studies, with 47 studies and a total of 621,356 patients included in the final analysis. Compared to PNPLA3-rs738409-CC genotype, GG genotype was associated with significantly higher cirrhosis incidence (HR 2.27 [95% CI 1.61-3.19]), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence (HR 1.84 [95% CI 1.06-3.20]), liver-related events (LRE) (HR 3.27 [95% CI 1.54-6.97]), and liver-related mortality (HR 3.15 [95% confidence interval 2.36-4.20]), but not cardiovascular disease incidence/mortality, or all-cause mortality. TM6SF2-rs58542926-CT or TT genotype was not associated with all-cause mortality. MBOAT7 was significantly associated with higher cirrhosis incidence (HR 1.37 [95% CI 1.12-1.69]), but not all-cause mortality. There were insufficient studies on other outcomes for these variants, or any studies on HSD17B13 or GCKR, to allow for meta-analysis. Nearly all patients included had metabolic dysfunction-associated SLD with a paucity of data available on alcohol-related liver disease.
Discussion: PNPLA3 risk variant is strongly associated with risk of liver-related outcomes and liver-specific mortality, but not all-cause mortality or cardiovascular mortality. Our findings suggest genetic variants such as PNPLA3 should be incorporated in risk-stratification of SLD patients.
Figure: PNPLA3 associations with the incidence of A) Cirrhosis B) HCC C) Liver-related mortality D) All-cause mortality
Note: The table for this abstract can be viewed in the ePoster Gallery section of the ACG 2024 ePoster Site or in The American Journal of Gastroenterology's abstract supplement issue, both of which will be available starting October 27, 2024.
Disclosures:
Matthew Kubina indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Vitchapong Prasitsumrit indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Jarell Tan indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Ethan Quek indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Dhiraj Peddu indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Ankit Mishra indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Whitney Townsend indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Eugene Wong indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Karn Wijarnpreecha indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Vincent Chen indicated no relevant financial relationships.
Matthew Kubina, MD1, Vitchapong Prasitsumrit, MD2, Jarell Tan, 3, Ethan Quek, 4, Dhiraj Peddu, MD1, Ankit Mishra, MD1, Whitney Townsend, 1, Eugene Wong, MD5, Karn Wijarnpreecha, MD6, Vincent Chen, MD7. P4608 - Effects of Steatotic Liver Disease-Associated Genetic Risk Alleles on Longitudinal Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis, ACG 2024 Annual Scientific Meeting Abstracts. Philadelphia, PA: American College of Gastroenterology.